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Jake's avatar

It is honestly astonishing how bad America's response to covid was. From public health and epidemiologists, to politicians and media, all the way down to the public. If Biden had been in charge, sure seems like we would have been just as likely to bungle it. Maybe the only institution to come out looking like they exceeded expectations is Big Pharma?

Having spent all of March having every public health expert say masks are bad and travel restrictions don't work and xenophobic was an absolute disaster.

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Clare Gollnick's avatar

It is not a good idea to apply lessons from the Ebola policy response to a coronavirus. It's a category error. Ebola is a very deadly disease. COVID-19 is infectious but not severe (disparate risk profile). The Swine flu pandemic in 2009 would be a better comparison. To make a very long lecture as short as possible: viruses cannot be infectious and deadly simultaneously as sick hosts do not move around. Social behavior is the dominant variable that determines the speed of infection spread. When I taught pandemic response during my doctorate, I taught policy using two classes of viruses. First, there are very deadly diseases like Ebola. These viruses are easily contained because all carriers are symptomatic. Travel bans are unnecessary because it is easy to know where the disease is at any time. In the other category, of which influenza is the best example, we have no successful methods to contain the virus except perfect isolation indefinitely (even after vaccination) as people are asymptomatic or mostly healthy while spreading. Small island nations like New Zealand and Iceland can do well due to geography alone; it has little to do with government travel policy. Remember that animals also spread disease, so it is not just humans that are hosts and need to restrict travel across borders—Oceans help.

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